Malcolm Gladwell's The Tipping Point has become the marketing world's leading book on understanding how trends ripple through society. In short, one of the cornerstones of Gladwell's thesis is that highly influential individuals disproportionately affect the buying decisions of others in the community. If marketers can focus their efforts on the influentials, they'll reap the returns.
But what if Gladwell got it wrong? What if his interpretation of Stanley Milgram's Six Degrees of Separation experiment was short sighted, and based on a data set that was too small?
Duncan Watts, a research who now does work for Yahoo Research, was interviewed in Fast Company magazine's February 2008 issue. In his interview, he was able to effectively have me question whether or not these influentials really had any more power than the average Joe and Jane.
More importantly for us at PICnet, we have for a long time focused our discovery process on building personas for highly connected individuals for our clients. The goal is to determine what those highly influential individuals in an organization's community want to be communicated with, and to determine the most effective path to doing so in online communications.
If Watts is right, however, the effects of luck and "right place, right time" might be much more influential than our Influentials.